CD Marchamalo vs Gimnástico de Alcázar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marchamalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 1
MAR
25%
25%
51%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALM
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TAL
1 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
LGI
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HEL
0 - 2
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 4
DAI
18%
23%
59%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 2
GIM
75%
17%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 3
MAD
14%
22%
64%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VRU
4 - 3
GIM
81%
14%
6%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 3
TOL
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |