Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 4-4
Maranhão vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIO
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
POT
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
MAR
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALT
33%
26%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
14%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
YAP
0 - 4
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |