Maranhense Final
Global 0-2
Maranhão vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
ALT
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
TOC
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 2
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
CAX
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
LON
2 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
REM
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
BOT
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |