Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-4
Maranhão vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
COR
4 - 3
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
IMP
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
MOT
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
JOS
1 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
42%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAY
0 - 0
REM
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 3
PAY
18%
20%
62%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
REM
0 - 0
PAY
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 0
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PAY
1 - 0
REM
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |