Maranhão vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
YAP
1 - 0
MAR
33%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
IMP
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAL
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
GUR
3 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
GUR
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 2
YAP
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 2
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIV
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |