Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 1-1
Maranhão vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
FPI
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 1
MOT
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 0
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
TDC
77%
15%
7%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 5
MAN
7%
19%
74%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
PRI
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |