Maranguape vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 4
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
MAR
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
GUA
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
FOR
15%
22%
64%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |