Cearense 1 Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 2-6
Maranguape vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 3
MAR
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
TIR
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
4 - 0
MAR
82%
14%
4%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
11%
19%
71%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +1 |