Maranguape vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
BOV
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
FOR
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
81%
13%
7%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
1 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |