Maranguape vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
ITA
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ICA
1 - 2
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
MAR
82%
14%
4%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
UNI
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 0
RIV
80%
15%
5%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
76%
17%
8%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |