Maranguape vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
62%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
QUI
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
ICA
16%
25%
59%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CEA
4 - 3
MAR
86%
10%
3%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
FOR
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
RIV
75%
16%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
FOR
17%
24%
60%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |