Maranguape vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 2
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
CEA
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
QUI
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
LIM
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
FER
4 - 0
QUI
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CEA
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
FER
0 - 1
GUA
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |