Maranguape vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
FOR
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
CRA
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
LIM
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 0
HOR
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 1
CRA
79%
13%
7%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |