Maranguape vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
77.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TIR
3 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
MAR
74%
18%
9%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
CEA
22%
23%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
HOR
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
BRU
0 - 1
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
CEA
23%
24%
54%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 0
UNI
84%
13%
4%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |