Maranatha vs Douanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranatha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
MAR
49%
27%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
ANG
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GOM
2 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACS
55%
25%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
TCH
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Douanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DOU
3 - 0
ETO
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
USK
1 - 2
DOU
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
KOT
1 - 2
DOU
44%
29%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DOU
1 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 0
DOU
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |