Maracena vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAR
27%
24%
50%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
NIJ
34%
27%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ANT
6 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
HUE
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAR
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 2
VIC
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ALH
2 - 1
VEL
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 1
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAZ
1 - 0
VEL
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
6 - 3
MAL
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |