Maracena vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+137%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 4
GRA
11%
22%
67%
|
27 | 72 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RON
1 - 1
MAR
77%
14%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
NER
5 - 1
CDL
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 2
NER
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NER
0 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CDR
1 - 3
NER
26%
26%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NER
3 - 0
DHE
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |