Maracena vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 1
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ANT
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UDS
2 - 0
MAR
41%
25%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
ATA
66%
20%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LOJ
1 - 1
CDR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
LOJ
11%
21%
69%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 1
GUA
63%
20%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 1
RJA
21%
28%
51%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 3
CDP
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |