Maracena vs Iliturgi 2016 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAÑ
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CDR
2 - 1
MAR
33%
24%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
BER
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
EST
4 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ICF
1 - 1
CFC
44%
26%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CAÑ
3 - 3
ICF
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ICF
0 - 1
CDR
38%
26%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BER
1 - 3
ICF
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ICF
1 - 2
EST
19%
24%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |