Maracena vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALH
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 0
MAL
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 0
HUE
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 1
ALH
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RON
0 - 2
MAL
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UDS
0 - 0
MAL
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |