Maracena vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 4
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
ANT
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAR
36%
26%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALH
57%
23%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
MAR
10%
19%
71%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 2
LOJ
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
4 - 0
HUE
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 0
MAL
16%
23%
62%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 0
MOT
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
2 - 2
MAL
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |