Maracena vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
VEL
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAR
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
NIJ
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ANT
6 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MAL
4 - 2
VIC
70%
18%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALH
1 - 0
MAL
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 1
MOT
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BAZ
0 - 1
MAL
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |