Maracena vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
12º
15º
13º
41
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
GRA
13%
22%
65%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARE
41%
26%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ICF
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAÑ
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CDR
2 - 1
MAR
33%
24%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PUL
0 - 1
ALM
28%
26%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 4
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
UFC
1 - 1
ALM
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |