Maracena vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
12º
15º
13º
41
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
GRA
13%
22%
65%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARE
41%
26%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ICF
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAÑ
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CDR
2 - 1
MAR
33%
24%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PUL
0 - 1
ALM
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 4
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
UFC
1 - 1
ALM
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |