Maracanã vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
57.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
PAC
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
MAR
52%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
UNI
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 2
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BOV
2 - 2
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CEA
4 - 0
TIR
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 2
CEA
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 3
CEA
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
3 - 2
CRA
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 0
FOR
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |