Maracanã vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FER
5 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
TIR
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ICA
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |