Maracanã vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ICA
3 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 3
FER
28%
25%
48%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
FER
3 - 2
TIR
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 1
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |