Maracanã vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
FER
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ICA
3 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
TIR
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 1
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 0
ICA
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |