Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4373%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mara Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
MSU
62%
23%
15%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
MSU
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 60 | 45 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
MSU
1 - 1
POS
17%
23%
61%
|
14 | 58 | 44 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MSU
1 - 0
SHA
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
MSU
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
SOF
1 - 1
POL
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SOF
2 - 0
KAK
31%
27%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
SOF
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NAI
1 - 1
SOF
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SOF
0 - 1
BAN
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |