Mara Sugar vs Mathare United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4373%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mara Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ULI
1 - 0
MSU
63%
22%
15%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
KCB
4 - 3
MSU
66%
21%
13%
|
18 | 69 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MSU
1 - 0
KAS
21%
25%
55%
|
17 | 63 | 46 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
TLT
2 - 0
MSU
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
MSU
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAT
0 - 0
KAS
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 0
SHA
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 2
MAT
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 2
MUR
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
TUS
2 - 0
MAT
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |