Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 1
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
AGU
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IMP
0 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NUE
0 - 3
MAR
20%
21%
59%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDA
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 4
NAX
7%
15%
79%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAX
4 - 1
CDF
92%
6%
2%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NAX
4 - 0
OYO
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CLH
1 - 1
NAX
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
NAX
2 - 1
UDL
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |