Tercera Playoffs Galicia Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 3
MAR
17%
23%
61%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 0
PIN
89%
9%
3%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
IMP
0 - 3
MAR
26%
27%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAG
1 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
EST
5 - 1
UDT
79%
15%
6%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 4
EST
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
CDM
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |