Racing Cartagena Mar Menor vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
60%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CIE
1 - 0
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
UCA
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 5
MAR
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
MUL
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 4
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
CDA
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
YEC
0 - 4
LOR
23%
24%
52%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 0
EGP
73%
16%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 3
FUE
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 3
LOR
14%
22%
65%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |