Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor vs San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
MSM
0 - 1
MAR
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
LAU
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
JUM
1 - 5
MAR
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
EGP
1 - 1
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
CFC
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
AYA
0 - 2
ASJ
9%
18%
74%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 2
CEU
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 0
ASJ
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASJ
2 - 2
COR
36%
26%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CIS
4 - 1
ASJ
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |