Mar Menor B vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
EFA
1 - 2
MME
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MME
4 - 1
BAL
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
MME
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MME
0 - 1
BAL
41%
22%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ABA
2 - 1
MME
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALG
0 - 2
LOR
59%
21%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LOR
2 - 2
OLI
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 1
EGP
25%
24%
51%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 1
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
LOR
0 - 1
CHU
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |