MapelloBonate vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
MAP
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
1 - 1
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 0
MAP
72%
16%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAP
2 - 1
PON
21%
24%
56%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 0
PON
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
VBE
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 0
SON
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 1
VBE
53%
21%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 1
VAR
32%
23%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |