MapelloBonate vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 1
MAP
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAP
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAP
2 - 5
OLG
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
4 - 1
MAP
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAP
0 - 1
PER
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SON
1 - 2
SER
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SON
1 - 3
FIO
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 1
SON
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
PON
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 4
SON
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |