MapelloBonate vs Pontisola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
MAP
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 1
SON
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 1
MAP
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAP
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAP
2 - 5
OLG
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 1
PON
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
PRO
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 3
PON
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PON
1 - 0
GRU
34%
23%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |