MapelloBonate vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAP
53%
24%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAP
1 - 2
OLG
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
1 - 1
MAP
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAP
2 - 1
PRO
43%
24%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
MAP
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
CIS
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
6 - 1
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -3 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PER
2 - 2
OLG
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 1
PER
43%
24%
32%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |