Manzini Sea Birds vs Illovo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Sea Birds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
ROY
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EZU
1 - 0
MAN
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MBA
7 - 2
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
MAN
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
MAN
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Illovo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
IFC
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 1
MAN
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NHO
1 - 1
IFC
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 1
MBA
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
IFC
3 - 1
DNV
65%
19%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |