Manurewa vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
10º
6º
20
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAO
2 - 1
MAN
32%
21%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
AUC
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MUF
0 - 1
MAN
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
WES
15%
17%
68%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 1
HAW
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
8 - 3
WSU
87%
9%
4%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 4
WEL
9%
14%
77%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 3
STO
88%
9%
4%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 5
WEL
7%
12%
81%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
EAS
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |