Manurewa vs Melville United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
10º
10º
18
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WCR
2 - 2
MAN
40%
22%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
WES
25%
20%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 3
MAN
56%
19%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 0
MAN
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
MAN
28%
21%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 4
BIR
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 2
MEL
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TCU
4 - 0
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 2
MEL
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WES
3 - 3
MEL
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |