Manurewa vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
71.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
5º
4º
26
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 4
MAN
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MEL
5 - 2
MAN
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
AUC
7 - 0
MAN
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
AFC
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
0 - 3
CHR
30%
21%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
3 - 2
WES
36%
20%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 0
TAK
88%
8%
4%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
2 - 2
NGA
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
6 - 1
HAW
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |