Manurewa vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
79.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
5º
4º
49
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MEL
5 - 2
MAN
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
AUC
7 - 0
MAN
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
AFC
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 4
MAN
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EAS
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 2
EAS
41%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
6 - 1
HAW
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
0 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
WES
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EAS
11%
15%
74%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |