Manurewa vs East Coast Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
8º
8º
13
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 41 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 21 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 19 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 17 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 13 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 3
MAN
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
MAN
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TCU
2 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
HAW
57%
19%
24%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAN
68%
17%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
East Coast Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 2
EAS
19%
18%
63%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ECB
2 - 0
MEL
56%
19%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WCR
2 - 2
ECB
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
ECB
74%
14%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 3
AUC
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -1 |