Manurewa vs Birkenhead United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
63.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
10º
10º
43
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HAW
3 - 3
MAN
39%
21%
40%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
ONE
18%
18%
64%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +3 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 2
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
WCR
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
WES
4 - 2
MAN
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 2
BIR
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 2
EAS
47%
23%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WES
3 - 3
BIR
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 0
MEL
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
WCR
0 - 5
BIR
12%
15%
74%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |