Manurewa vs Auckland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
73%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
5º
4º
39
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 4
MAN
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EAS
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 3
BIR
9%
13%
78%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAO
49%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
MUF
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 0
HAW
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 2
AUC
12%
14%
74%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
3 - 4
AFC
13%
17%
70%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
EAS
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 5
AFC
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |