Manu Ura vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
31 | 68 | 37 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 1
WAI
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
WAI
2 - 1
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAG
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MAG
1 - 1
WAI
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
NOK
0 - 1
MAG
11%
17%
72%
|
48 | 14 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MAG
0 - 3
MAN
18%
20%
62%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
MAG
0 - 1
TAF
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |