Manu Ura vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAG
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
31 | 68 | 37 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 1
WAI
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 2
AUC
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 1
AUC
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AUC
3 - 1
TEA
64%
19%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AUC
5 - 0
OTA
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
75%
15%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |