Manthiqueira vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SJS
2 - 0
MAN
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 2
GDS
23%
21%
55%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PAU
0 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 2
PEN
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
MOG
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MAN
7 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 3
UNI
45%
26%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 2
GUA
64%
22%
14%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
SJS
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |