Mantes vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TRE
3 - 0
MAN
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 3
MAN
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
CHA
22%
26%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAI
3 - 0
MAN
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 2
BER
27%
27%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
VIT
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PSG
1 - 1
FON
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FON
0 - 3
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 4
FON
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
VOL
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |